California

Democrats are targeting seven Republican-held House districts that Hillary Clinton won: Districts 10 and 21 in the Central Valley; District 25 in Los Angeles County; Districts 39, 45 and 48 in Orange County; and District 49 in Orange and San Diego counties. Keep a close eye on Districts 39 and 48, where the sheer number of Democratic candidates has party officials scared that two Republicans will advance on the back of a splintered Democratic vote.

Top two candidates 3rd 4th

10

Jeff Denham*

Rep.

37.8%

Josh Harder

Dem.

15.6%

Ted Howze

Rep.

14.3%

Michael Eggman

Dem.

11.0%

 80%

21

David Valadao*

Rep.

0.0%

TJ Cox

Dem.

0.0%

 0%

25

Steve Knight*

Rep.

52.9%

Katie Hill

Dem.

20.2%

Bryan Caforio

Dem.

18.2%

Jess Phoenix

Dem.

6.0%

 98%

39

Young Kim

Rep.

21.9%

Gil Cisneros

Dem.

19.4%

Phil Liberatore

Rep.

14.0%

Andy Thorburn

Dem.

9.0%

 100%

45

Mimi Walters*

Rep.

53.2%

Katie Porter

Dem.

19.9%

Dave Min

Dem.

17.2%

Brian Forde

Dem.

5.6%

 100%

48

Dana Rohrabacher*

Rep.

30.3%

Harley Rouda

Dem.

17.3%

Hans Keirstead

Dem.

17.2%

Scott Baugh

Rep.

16.1%

 100%

49

Diane Harkey

Rep.

25.5%

Mike Levin

Dem.

17.2%

Sara Jacobs

Dem.

15.2%

Doug Applegate

Dem.

13.0%

 77%

* Incumbent

Iowa

District 1

Iowa’s First District is overwhelmingly white, which would tend to pull it to the right based on national voting patterns — but it’s also mostly urban, with large population centers in Cedar Rapids, Dubuque and Waterloo, which would tend to pull it to the left. The result is a highly competitive re-election campaign for Representative Rod Blum, a Trump-supporting Tea Party Republican and House Freedom Caucus member. Four Democrats are running to challenge him, foremost among them State Representative Abby Finkenauer.

Democratic Primary
Finkenauer Abby Finkenauer 29,525 67.0%
Heckroth Thomas Heckroth 8,467 19.2%
Rowe Courtney Rowe 3,320 7.5%
Ramsey George Ramsey 2,786 6.3%

44,098 votes, 100% reporting (416 of 416 precincts)

Republican Primary
Blum* Rod Blum* Uncontested 0 0.0%

0% reporting (0 of 0 precincts)

* Incumbent

District 3

Three Democrats are seeking to challenge Representative David Young in the Third District, which includes Iowa’s largest city, Des Moines. They are Pete D’Alessandro, who led Bernie Sanders’s caucus campaign in Iowa, and two small-business owners: Cindy Axne and Eddie Mauro. If none of them reach 35 percent of the vote, the party will hold a convention, a prolongation of the nominating process that the candidates would prefer to avoid.

Democratic Primary
Axne Cindy Axne 32,070 58.0%
Mauro Eddie Mauro 14,582 26.4%
D’Alessandro Pete D’Alessandro 8,595 15.6%

55,247 votes, 100% reporting (375 of 375 precincts)

Republican Primary
Young* David Young* Uncontested 0 0.0%

0% reporting (0 of 0 precincts)

* Incumbent

Libertarian Party Primary
Holder Bryan Holder Uncontested 0 0.0%

0% reporting (0 of 0 precincts)

Montana

At-Large District

Democrats are hotly pursuing Montana’s only House seat, currently held by Greg Gianforte. The top Democratic candidates in terms of fund-raising are John Heenan, a lawyer in Billings, and Grant Kier, a former nonprofit director. In the first quarter of 2018, though, Mr. Gianforte raised more money than all his Democratic challengers combined.

Democratic Primary
Williams Kathleen Williams 36,751 33.5%
Heenan John Heenan 34,915 31.8%
Kier Grant Kier 26,707 24.3%
Moss Lynda Moss 5,448 5.0%
Meyer John Meyer 3,582 3.3%
Pettinato Jared Pettinato 2,400 2.2%
Others Others 11,430 10.4%

109,803 votes, 96% reporting (641 of 669 precincts)

– Show fewer candidates

Republican Primary
Gianforte* Greg Gianforte* Uncontested 0 0.0%

0% reporting (0 of 0 precincts)

* Incumbent

Libertarian Party Primary
Swanson Elinor Swanson Uncontested 0 0.0%

0% reporting (0 of 0 precincts)

Independent Party Primary
Campbell Doug Campbell Uncontested 0 0.0%

0% reporting (0 of 0 precincts)

New Jersey

District 2

The Second District, in South Jersey, would not be a Democratic target in a normal year, but Democrats believe this year’s anti-Trump energy gives them a chance. The incumbent, Frank LoBiondo, is retiring, and four Democrats and five Republicans are running to replace him. The Democratic race is interesting as a microcosm of a national tussle: It pits Jeff Van Drew, a conservative Democrat who might appeal more in such a Republican-leaning district in November, against Tanzie Youngblood, a progressive.

Democratic Primary
Van Drew Jeff Van Drew 15,645 55.4%
Youngblood Tanzie Youngblood 5,409 19.2%
Cunningham William Cunningham 4,736 16.8%
Kleinman Nate Kleinman 2,443 8.7%

28,233 votes, 99% reporting (522 of 523 precincts)

Republican Primary
Grossman Seth Grossman 10,101 39.0%
Singh Hirsh Singh 7,893 30.5%
Fiocchi Sam Fiocchi 6,068 23.4%
Turkavage Robert Turkavage 1,839 7.1%

25,901 votes, 99% reporting (522 of 523 precincts)

District 7

Representative Leonard Lance, the incumbent in the Seventh District, is highly vulnerable thanks to anti-Trump sentiment, even though he is a moderate Republican who voted against his party’s tax plan and voted to repeal the Affordable Care Act. He isn’t likely to face much trouble from his Republican primary challengers, so the real action on Tuesday is in the Democratic primary, where the former Obama administration official Tom Malinowski is running against Peter Jacob, who lost to Mr. Lance in 2016.

Democratic Primary
Malinowski Tom Malinowski 26,059 66.8%
Jacob Peter Jacob 7,467 19.1%
Jois Goutam Jois 5,482 14.1%

39,008 votes, 99% reporting (633 of 639 precincts)

Republican Primary
Lance* Leonard Lance* 24,841 74.9%
Brown Lindsay Brown 4,772 14.4%
Barsoom Raafat Barsoom 3,543 10.7%

33,156 votes, 99% reporting (637 of 639 precincts)

* Incumbent

District 11

The 11th district, being vacated by Representative Rodney Frelinghuysen, attaches heavily Democratic areas of Essex County to Republican-dominated Morris County, creating a seat that has been reliably Republican until this year. The Democratic front-runner is Mikie Sherrill, a former Navy helicopter pilot and prosecutor backed by Joe Biden; she is running against the former social worker Tamara Harris and three others. On the Republican side, State Assemblyman Jay Webber is running against Antony Ghee and Peter De Neufville.

Democratic Primary
Sherrill Mikie Sherrill 34,804 77.3%
Harris Tamara Harris 6,544 14.5%
Washburne Mark Washburne 1,529 3.4%
Heslin Alison Heslin 1,243 2.8%
Cobert Mitchell Cobert 876 1.9%
Others Others 2,119 4.7%

44,996 votes, 99% reporting (571 of 576 precincts)

– Show fewer candidates

Republican Primary
Webber Jay Webber 16,763 39.9%
De Neufville Peter De Neufville 12,851 30.6%
Ghee Antony Ghee 9,148 21.8%
Allocco Patrick Allocco 1,735 4.1%
Hewitt Martin Hewitt 1,477 3.5%
Others Others 3,212 7.7%

41,974 votes, 99% reporting (571 of 576 precincts)

– Show fewer candidates

New Mexico

District 2

The Second District, which sprawls across almost 72,000 square miles, has long been a Republican stronghold, but it’s vulnerable this year with Representative Steve Pearce leaving to run for governor. Four Republicans are pursuing the seat, including State Representative Yvette Herrell, whom the New Mexico Republican Party endorsed over its former chairman Monty Newman. The Democrats have two candidates: Xochitl Torres Small, a lawyer supported by Emily’s List and the state party, and Madeline Hildebrandt, a Coast Guard veteran.

Democratic Primary
Small Xochitl Torres Small 25,218 72.6%
Hildebrandt Madeline Hildebrandt 9,512 27.4%

34,730 votes, 97% reporting (485 of 501 precincts)

Republican Primary
Herrell Yvette Herrell 15,868 49.1%
Newman Monty Newman 10,360 32.0%
Clarkson Gavin Clarkson 4,011 12.4%
Griffin Clayburn Griffin 2,110 6.5%

32,349 votes, 98% reporting (492 of 501 precincts)

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